In fact, on Tuesday, you can expect a day-long traffic jam within District 1 and 2 as a lot of city employees - on and off the city’s payroll - will be driving folks to polling stations for Willie Gort, Grace Solares and Teresa Sarnoff, which in and of itself should tell you a lot about what to expect if either Sarnoff or Solares were to get elected.


Ken Russell, the only other candidate with a possibility of winning this election, and keeping Teresa Sarnoff out of office, and folks who care about that should really be focused on this goal. Russell managed to wage a largely mistake free campaign as an“aggrieved resident” fighting against dirty government and dirty politics.


The down side for Russell is that even though he got the endorsement of the Miami Herald, he’s come in third in the money race with a total of campaign donations and money donated to his ECO of $170,560.00. 


Solares who was early out the gate as the anti-Sarnoff candidate is in 2nd place in fund raising with a total $271,645.00 donated to her campaign and ECO, and Teresa Sarnoff, thanks to the blatant Pay-For-Play, strong-arm tactics of her husband, received a total of $747,886.25 to her campaign, and his/her ECO spent $90,804.00, for a total of $838,690.25.


There’s also the question of who and how the money was transferred to the Committee for Progressive Values, run by Republican operative Anthony Pedicini, to cover the costs of the anti- Solares flyers that hit mailboxes over the last couple weeks, because those flyers cost thousands of dollars to print and mail, and there is no way from the records available to figure out who really paid for them.


None of the other candidates have any chance of even getting close to winning this election, as evidenced by both their lack of supporters and campaign donations, and several of them continue to have a delusional belief that voters really considered them credible candidates even when their actions demonstrated that they lacked the common sense needed to be a candidate or an elected official.


I think that the slugfest between Sarnoff and Solares has weakened them both, and as a result there’s a real possibility that Teresa Sarnoff will not win this election outright, even though her husband has been browbeating, threatening and having hissy fits in an effort to try and get that to happen.


Everyone continues to use the Sarnoff 2011 reelection campaign as the template for this election, and I think they are wrong on several counts.


First, Teresa Sarnoff, as evidenced by her debate performances, was a little more than a cardboard candidate. In denying her the Herald’s endorsement, the paper diplomatically stated that, “when asked to drill down on the issues most important to District 2, and the city, she came up short.”


Secondly, Sarnoff himself never faced an election with two candidates that had the willingness and money to take the fight to his wife as Solares and Russell have done.


Thirdly, the District has changed drastically since 2011, and I think that the interest generated this time out - last time out there was one mediocre debate held at Legion Hall, versus the 8 debates that were held this year, and which as of today have been viewed by a total of 2053 folks on-line - plus the changing demographics in the downtown and Brickell area will result in a larger turnout than most people expect will show up to vote.


It will still be a minority of the eligible voters, but I think the increased number of voters will provide both Solares and Russell with a larger share of the votes.


Fourthly, there is a real hostility against Sarnoff that he’s richly earned over the last 8 years, and no amount of money can gloss that over for some folks, especially folks within Coconut Grove, which has been the Sarnoff base.


For those reasons I think that the election will go into a Runoff.  If the Runoff turns out to be between Sarnoff and Solares,  I think that between the Sarnoff money and all the negative baggage about Solares, she would lose. 


If it’s a runoff between Sarnoff and Russell, I think he could actually win, because there would be a stark and clear choice for voters, and Russell really has no negative baggage, other than the silly rumors that keep on surfacing like the one that he’s the secret owner of the corner lot at US1 and South Bayshore Drive where he intends to build a hotel if he’s elected. 


Of course, I could be wrong about all of this.  This after all is an election being held in the City of Miami where it’s still possible to expect that maybe a little Absentee Ballot fraud might get committed, and where there is always the possibility that Manuel Yip will return from the dead to vote one more time.


It’s always Miami, Bitches!

CATS IN A SACK
CRESPOGRAM REPORT
BARRED FROM NUMEROUS GOVERNMENTAL COMPUTER NETWORKS FOR TELLING THE TRUTH
NOVEMBER 2, 2015

On Saturday morning, I’ve been told that Grace Solares had Mayor Tomas Regalado in her little electric golf cart knocking on doors in the North Grove, and Teresa Sarnoff had Congresswoman Frederica Wilson in tow as they walked the West Grove.


This is an indication of how close each of these candidates believes the race to be, and sadly, it demonstrates - as if more demonstration needed to be provided of just how reprehensibly sleazy and unprincipled the Democratic Party has become when a Democratic Congresswoman like Wilson would show up to campaign in a part of Miami that she doesn’t represent for a woman who along with her husband - the lying weasel dick Commissioner - not only served as the Co-Event Chair of the big Republican Governor’s Association fund raiser held at billionaire Mike Hernandez’s house in Gables Estates last year, but also that Sarnoff endorsed Republican Governor Rick Scott for reelection, which was captured by Channel 4 news.


In a case like this, it’s really hard to determine who’s the sleazier, the Sarnoff’s for being two-faced opportunists and schemers, or the Congresswoman allowing herself to be pimped out to support a anti-Democratic Party phony?


On the Solares side, I believe that her campaign, led by Christian Ulvert, produced the best attack flyers, although in the last couple weeks the Sarnoff machine managed to show that they too could sling mud with the best of them. The Sarnoffs have, thanks to me, been conditioned to life in a glass house, but unfortunately Solares, whose largely been able to control and shape her image until she became a candidate didn’t take into account the old adage that when you throw rocks at a glass house, you’d best not be living in one yourself.


It’s was not widely known at the time that Grace Solares became the President of Neighborhoods United just in time to  use that organization to support Tomas Regalado for Mayor in 2009, and now this latest revelation in the Sarnoff flyer above, of her using her position in Neighborhoods United to benefit her family trust becomes another example of a supposed community activist who seems to have put her ego and her pocketbook ahead of the interests of the citizens of Miami.


To counter all the negative information on Solares released in the last few weeks, look for Tomas Regalado, in addition to riding around in a golf cart and Solares sending out 10,000 letters - including a version in Spanish - that supposedly are timed to hit your mailboxes on Monday announcing his support for Solares, that he will put his political machine into operation on election day for Solares that will include numerous city employees - on city time, because that’s the way Regalado has always used city workers - to do campaign work and get people to the polls.


Here’s a video from the past that shows the Mayor’s trusty aide Jose Marrero doing campaign runs in a city vehicle when Regalado was running for Mayor in 2010.

THE ELECTION IS FINALLY ENDING
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THE SARNOFF AND SOLARES CAMPAIGNS SLUGGED IT OUT TO THE END USING NEGATIVE ATTACK FLYERS TO REPEATEDLY SLIME EACH OTHER, AND NOW THE REMAINING QUESTIONS TO BE SETTLED ON TUESDAY ARE CAN TERESA SARNOFF WIN OUTRIGHT, OR DID THIS CAT FIGHT PROVIDE KEN RUSSELL THE OPPORTUNITY TO BECOME THE GIANT KILLER IN A  RUNOFF?